Wednesday, December 29, 2010

An Interest in Interest Rates

As I sit by the Christmas tree, now bare of the annual gift giving, I ponder what the coming year of 2011 will bring. More importantly, what advice can I impart to the buyers who will be active in this market? If you are still on the fence about making your purchase in 2011, I have one word for you: interest rates. Ok, that is two words. But the rates will continue to creep up, as they already have. If you have a favorite house in mind and are sitting back, waiting for the price to drop, you may want to act before the rates rise significantly more. A ½-point increase in your interest rate could make the house much more expensive over the term of the loan than the potentially small price drop. In addition, a rise in the interest rates might not allow you to qualify for the home purchase at all. Be mindful of the interest rates and discuss how the change in the rate might impact your buying power with your lender.

I found this article on the KCW blog spot and, at the risk of plagiarizing, I find that this article explains the pitfalls in plain English. Do yourself a favor and read the entire article; it might save you a lot of money over the next 30 years.

How Do Rising Interest Rates Affect Affordability?
by The KCM Crew on April 8, 2010 • ( excerpts only)

“Let’s say we have a couple making $10,000 a month. Let’s also say, they are comfortable paying (and qualify for) a mortgage payment of $3,500. From that $3,500 payment, we would deduct an estimated $750/mo. for real estate taxes, $100/mo. for homeowners’ insurance, and approximately $200/mo. for mortgage insurance (assuming an FHA loan). That would leave approximately $2450/mo. for Principal & Interest.

At 5% mortgage rates, our hypothetical borrowers would qualify for (and be comfortable paying) a $446,000 base loan amount. At 6%, the same total mortgage payment of $3,500 can only give our borrowers a base loan amount of $399,000!!! A 1% increase in rates, can reduce buying power 10%!!!

What are the implications and possible outcomes of this mathematical certainty?

  1. Buyers may wind up with a higher mortgage payment than they are comfortable with and their lifestyles will suffer (in our example, the payment would escalate $280/mo.)…..or worse, they may no longer qualify for their loan and deals could collapse.

  2. Buyers will have to “lower their sights” on lesser homes in lesser neighborhoods because their monthly carrying costs are the true determinant to buying a home.

  3. Buyers may choose to “wait it out”, hoping that rates will come back down (much in the same way sellers held on to the belief that prices would rebound). There is no logic behind that hope, but that won’t stop buyers from getting on the sidelines.

Forget about looking backwards. To do what’s best for your family, know this;
For Buyers, TODAY may be the lowest interest rate you will be able to get for the REST OF YOUR LIFETIME.

Remember, Buyers and Lenders want the same thing….an affordable payment. The price of the home is secondary to the monthly cost of the home. ACT QUICKLY, if you are looking to buy to get the home you want, in the neighborhood you want, for a payment you want... TIME IS NOT ON YOUR SIDE.”

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

'Tis the Season to Sell!

The Real Estate market enters an awkward period between Thanksgiving and New Years, and it affects Sellers and Buyers in different ways.

Prospective buyers who have not yet made their anticipated move for the year fall into one of two categories. One set of buyers must sell their current home before buying the next. This group tends to get caught up in the holiday cheer and/or chaos, and will postpone their search until the New Year. After all, they still have a place to rest their heads.

The other group of buyers is renting either an apartment or an extended-stay suite in a local motel. This group has the flexibility to move with 30 days notice and, although they too are caught up in the holiday revelry, will often still sneak in some house viewing, especially if something new comes on the market.

Consequently, the sellers are caught in this sales process. As Thanksgiving approaches each year, I hear the same question from my current listing clients: “Should I take my house off the market during the holidays???” When asked why, the response I most often get is that they will be very busy and do not want to take on the additional hassle. This question always sets me back a bit because, not a month before, these same sellers tallied the number of showings at their home and anxiously awaited feedback. Funny thing is, if a home is not under deposit by Thanksgiving, any subsequent offers will not schedule to close until after the New Year. With the contract-to-closing timeframe of 45 to 60 days (mostly due to financing) if your home has not sold by Thanksgiving, you will not be moving until the next calendar year. So would I recommend taking your house off of the market?? The only thing I can guarantee if you take your house off the market is that it definitely will NOT sell!!

Conversely, when do most homes in Vermont look and show their best?? When they are decorated for the holidays, a fresh blanket of pure white snow coats the landscape and everything is clean and crisp. And by the way, all the wonderful, warm, holiday smells from the kitchen eliminate the need to create those great aromas artificially. Chestnuts roasting on an open fire? Perfect.

And the last reason you should not take your home off the market during the holiday season is the aforementioned buyers. There is no one more motivated than a relocating buyer who is facing the prospect of spending Christmas morning in a cramped motel room by the interstate, convincing their kids that Santa’s sleighbells sound strangely like a Mack truck this year. This group of buyers remains relatively active in the market, anything to get their minds off the not-so-sweet suite. And the sooner they are settled, the better. What better gift to give your relocating spouse but a new home??

So to the sellers: string the lights, turn up the Christmas Carols and bake the sugar cookies you were going to make anyway. It is all good and you may be surprised what Santa leaves under your tree. Nothing like a freshly written offer from a Comfy Suite Christmas Client!

‘Tis the season of giving and with all this discussion about folks between homes, please consider the following. One of my favorite organizations in the Burlington area that I choose to support every year is the Committee for Temporary Shelter (COTS). COTS has a number of locations in the Burlington area that provide shelter and services to singles and families 24 hours a day 365 days a year.

MISSION STATEMENT AND CORE VALUES

The Committee on Temporary Shelter provides emergency shelter, services, and housing for people who are homeless or marginally housed in Vermont. COTS advocates for long-term solutions to end homelessness.

We believe:

  • in the value and dignity of every human life.
  • that housing is a fundamental human right.
  • that emergency shelter is not the solution to homelessness

If you are looking for a worthy charity and have just a little more to give during the holidays, consider making a donation of your time or resources. You never know whose head you will be providing a safe place to lay for the night. Visit http://www.cotsonline.org/ for more information.

Happy Holidays!

Monday, December 13, 2010

Vermont's Not-So Buyers Market and How a Realtor Can Help

As we approach the end of the 2010 sales year, I would like to share some interesting observations from the past year. The Burlington Vt Real Estate market continues to exhibit many differences as compared to the supposed “National Real Estate Market” (which, by the way, is a media myth). I have noticed that while the market conditions in general are those of a buyer’s market, homes in the lower, more affordable price range, as well as those in a desirable location, are receiving multiple offers from more than one buyer. Not exactly a buyer’s market.

One of the reasons for this is that there is limited inventory offered at any one time in the Burlington Area. Most towns in Chittenden County will have 40-60 homes available to choose from across all price ranges. I find that when working with an active buyer, once they plug in all of their criteria in a local Burlington area search, the number of homes that fit their specific criteria is rarely more than 10-12. This handful of homes can be easily seen over the course of two days and, once viewed, most buyers wonder where the plethora of homes that they read about in the news has gone. The fact is that Vermont has never had an over-abundance of housing inventory; the existing permitting and land development regulations that are in place do not allow for the rapid development that occurs in other parts of the country, like Las Vegas, Florida or southern California. That fact alone also means that there will not be an over-abundance of homes in the future, either. With a shortage of existing inventory and the inability of the local building community to quickly create new homes, a slight increase in buyer activity in 2011 will use up the existing homes on the market and result in a shortage. This shortage will drive prices up from current levels, depending upon the strength of the sales. You heard it here first so stay tuned in 2011.

Another point of interest is the trend in buyer activity and behavior. It is no secret that 90% of active buyers in the real estate market begin their search on the internet. So, real estate professionals who list property will put all the info and pictures of their listed home on the various real estate websites to satisfy the buyers’ need to have all of the listing information at their finger tips. It is a great sales tool for listing agents and their selling clients. The funny thing is, buyers have totally changed how they interact with the real estate world. Back before the internet (I am talking 1995, not the stone age), buyers began their search with print ads and glossy real estate magazines from the supermarket, and would call a listed realtor. The agent would set up showings of as many properties that would meet the buyers’ need, as the buyers themselves had no reasonable access to the homes available in the area they were interested in. They relied on “their” real estate agent to “find” them a house. In essence, the buyers engaged real estate agents because we and we alone held all of the information. Now that the information is readily available to the buying public, buyers have forgotten how a knowledgeable and experienced agent, who has been hired to represent them in their purchase, can add valuable market information and experience to the buying process. While identifying the home the buyer wants to purchase is often seen as the main function of a realtor, it is the negotiation and management through the due diligence process to the final closing where a lot of the heavy lifting is done; having someone experienced can sure help smooth out the speed bumps. Remember, buying a home is not an “Easter Egg Hunt”. The job is not finished once a house is identified or “found.” The job is just the beginning. So if you are a buyer, consider engaging the services of realtor. Interview a few that are recommended by your friends and family and pick one with experience, who can add value to the process.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

1% Could Make the Difference

I asked Heather Myott a Mortgage Advisor with Coldwell Banker Mortgage, what would be the impact of waiting before purchasing a home. Waiting for what? Let’s say for home prices to come down. She gave me a great example to demonstrate that waiting could mean a decrease in purchasing power. Let’s take a look:

Example:
Purchase of $200,000 with 3.5% down payment at mortgage interest rate of 5.200% for a 30 year fixed rate loan = $1,078.33

Same scenario as above with an increase to the rate of 1% for a total mortgage interest rate of 6.200% = $1,202.75

Total increase in monthly payment of $124.42 or more than $40,000 over a 30 year loan.

To purchase at the same monthly payment as what you could with today’s rates in an economy with higher rates, you would be buying a home for around $179,000. That is a decrease in purchasing power of $21,000 or over 10% less of a home!

For more information contact:
Heather D. Myott,
Mortgage Advisor
Tel (802) 238-1704
Fax (856) 917-2188
Heather.Myott@mortgagefamily.com
Licensed in Vermont #6038

Friday, March 12, 2010

Extra Credit- Article from Seven Days

Here is an article from Seven Days where Chris talks about the First Time Homebuyer $8000 Tax Credit.

Josh Slocum looked for his first house for more than six months before he found the one. The 140-year-old Cape Cod in Winooski wasn’t huge — about 1000 square feet — but it was just what he wanted. Slocum, 35, organized his financing and put an offer on the house last January. Because it was a short sale — a sale whose proceeds are less than the balance owed on the property’s loan — the seller’s bank got involved, and it took a while for Slocum’s offer to be approved.

When he finally closed on the property in August, Slocum, the executive director of the South Burlington-based nonprofit Funeral Consumers Alliance, realized the closing costs and the costs of initial repairs were a little more than he could handle. But his status as a first-time homebuyer qualified him for the $8000 federal credit. Knowing that he’d have that money coming his way, Slocum felt comfortable borrowing from friends to cover the closing costs and those basic repairs.

Three months after he filed for his credit, Slocum received an $8000 check in the mail, signed by Uncle Sam. “It felt like the Publishers Clearinghouse,” he recalls. “But it wasn’t like it was play money.” That cash went straight to the friends who helped him out. What was left over went into a kitty for future home repairs.

Slocum says the credit was a huge incentive. It’s a common refrain among many first-time homebuyers who have taken advantage of the government’s effort to help spur the sluggish housing market. It’s difficult to measure the precise impact of the program, but local real estate agents and market watchers say it’s definitely having an effect.

When compared to the cost of a new, entry-level home in this market — somewhere in the neighborhood of $250,000 — eight grand doesn’t seem like very much. But when a new buyer has drained his or her savings for the down payment and is living lean after paying for inspections, repairs and the closing, the extra cash is a nice little boost. Slocum doubts that he could have bought his home without it.

In 2008, the Housing and Economic Recovery Act authorized a credit of $7500 for first-time homebuyers. A year later, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act expanded that credit by $500. The credit does not apply to single people with incomes of $125,000 or more, or couples with a combined income of more than $225,000. In November, Congress extended the credit, but despite the expansion and extension, few in the industry expect the credit to be extended after it expires in July.

That means first-time homebuyers must have a house under contract by May 1, 2010, and must have closed on the property by July 1, 2010, in order to be eligible. Existing homeowners who are looking to move up are also eligible for a $6500 credit if they have owned their current property for five years or more.

Apparently, say Vermont real estate professionals, the money is working to bring people into the market. Statistically, says realtor Chris von Trapp of Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman Realty, the credit has “done its job.” New home sales are lagging, but existing homes in the low to middle price range are moving. Two years ago, 30 percent of von Trapp’s buyers indicated they were first-timers; this year, that figure has climbed to 53 percent. “It doesn’t get any better than this with low interest rates and the stimulus,” von Trapp says.

In October and November 2009, just before the credit was extended, area real estate agents saw a huge rush in the number of first-time homebuyers seriously looking to purchase property. People wanted to get the $8000 to which they were entitled. Bob Hill, vice president of the Vermont Association of Realtors, is seeing the same crazed house hunting now, as first-timers realize they have just 60 days to get a house under contract.

After a drop-off in sales in December and January — historically slow months for real estate — interest in the market from new homebuyers rose to fever pitch, Hill claims. “The point of the credit was to get people off the sidelines and get them to make a decision,” Hill says. “It’s definitely working. Houses under $250,000 are moving.”

While the Vermont Real Estate Information Network doesn’t have exact numbers of first-time homebuyer sales in the state, Kathy Sweeten, the organization’s executive vice president, confirms that sales activity in Vermont has shot up in the last couple of months. In 2008, 789 single-family homes were sold in Chittenden County. Last year, that number jumped to 889. She attributes the increase not only to the tax credit but to the fact that home prices have stabilized in the region and the housing inventory is good. “We definitely have a healthy market here,” Sweeten says.

Emma Mulvaney-Stanak knows that to be true. When she began looking to buy her first home last summer, entry-level housing was being snatched up as soon as it was put on the market. As the tax credit window began closing, it became harder to find an affordable property. When she finally landed on a house she could afford, she pounced on it. “I offered the asking price,” she says. “I just had to throw open the checkbook because I was worried it would get snatched up.”

The opportunity was so good she gave up her seat on the city council to take advantage of it; she had lived in Burlington’s Ward 2, but the new place was in Ward 3. When she moved, she was required to step down. Last Tuesday, her new neighbors voted her back on the council, representing Ward 3.

The 29-year-old closed on her two-bedroom house in Burlington’s Old North End right before Thanksgiving and says she is looking forward to getting her $8000 check. The credit, she says, will “accelerate the exciting part of home ownership.” She plans on using part of the money to redo her bathroom, which, she reasons, will help the local economy. “I’m putting money back into the community and someone else will benefit from the credit,” she says.

Meredith Haff, a first-timer from Stowe who works as the marketing director at Concept2, plans on using her credit to “replenish the reserve,” which was drained shortly after she purchased her condo. She spent the first six months painting her place and making it her own. The credit, which she hopes to get in a couple months, will go toward reimbursing herself.

Like Slocum and Mulvaney-Stanak, Haff, 31, was pushed to take the plunge in part because of the credit. It was the incentive she needed to make a move now rather than wait around. “Knowing some of that money might come back to me made it seem less of a scary deal,” Haff says. Not only does she have $8000 coming her way, but she also has the satisfaction of knowing she did her part to stimulate the economy. Like all home purchases, Haff’s had a modest trickle-down effect on the economy. But cumulative housing sales help keep realtors, real estate attorneys and mortgage brokers in business and inspire confidence in the market.

Increased activity due to the credit, and to historically low interest rates, has a downside, though — first-time homebuyers in the region may find it hard to locate a property in the low to middle price range. The average length of time a two-bedroom home sits on the market is just 60 days, von Trapp says, making it a true seller’s market.

Most houses under $300,000 are getting multiple offers, and many of them are selling for the asking price. That means first-timers have to get aggressive if they’re going to land in their dream house. Average buyers in that price range lose the first two properties they think about putting a bid on.

“If you walk into the one and it’s the one,” von Trapp advises, “you have to buy it today.”

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Addison County Market Update


2009 proved to be a year of ups and downs. The Vermont real estate market struggled during the 1st half of the year, posting declines in sales of nearly 30%. With the passage in Congress of the Economic Stimulus Package in February 2009, qualifying first time buyers were provided an incentive to purchase and receive up to an $8000 tax credit, activity picked up and our local market began to turn around. Sales increased during the 2nd half of the year -
with first time buyers comprising nearly 50% of all real estate sales up from 35% in previous years. In spite of the surge in sales between August and November, total sales
in Addison County were down over 11% for the year by units sales with the average sale price dropping 12.5% across the board. In addition sluggishness in the market was reflected in an increase in days on the market of over 34%.

In November, Congress voted to extend and expand the tax credit in an effort to sustain the recovery of the housing market and therefore the economy. As a result of this extension, we expect an early and strong Spring Real Estate Market. Properties must be under contract by April 30th and meet a June 30th closing deadline. Now is the time for buyers to look for homes and for sellers to put their homes on the market. After April 30th - there may be fewer buyers motivated to purchase. In addition, economists are predicting a slight increase in mortgage rates for the second half of 2010. Those two conditions may exclude some buyers from the market as it will, at a minimum, reduce their buying power. The expansion of the tax credit to existing homeowners is an opportunity that many should take advantage of. If you have owned your primary residence for 5 consecutive years of the last 8 years - and you purchase a new primary residence by April 30th (with a closing date on or before June 30th) - you may qualify for up to a $6500 credit on your 2009 or 2010 tax return; individuals with incomes as high as $145,000 or couples with income as high as $245,000 may qualify.

Understanding the market and choosing a Real Estate Company and Agent with proven results in a difficult market is crucial. Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman Realty worked with more sellers and buyers in 2009 than any other real estate office in the entire state of Vermont, according to the Vermont Real Estate Information Network (VREIN). If you have any questions about this data or the tax credits - or would like to talk about your specific neighborhood - please don't hesitate to contact me - Chris

Monday, February 8, 2010

2009 Real Estate Market Summary


2009 proved to be a year of ups and downs. The Vermont real estate market struggled during the 1st half of the year, posting declines in sales of nearly 30%. With the passage in Congress of the Economic Stimulus Package in February 2009, qualifying first time buyers were provided an incentive to purchase and receive up to an $8000 tax credit, activity picked up and our local market began to turn around. Sales increased during the 2nd half of the year - with first time buyers comprising nearly 50% of all real estate sales up from 35% in previous years. Because of the surge in sales between August and November from buyers benefiting from the tax credit, the year ended with an increase of 7% in residential unit sales in Chittenden County. The average price declined by a modest 4%. This reflected first time buyer purchases and for the most part, very modest depreciation of property values. Click here to view a 5 year snapshot of the Real Estate Market in Northern Vermont.


In November, Congress voted to extend and expand the tax credit in an effort to sustain the recovery of the housing market and therefore the economy. As a result of this extension, we expect an early and strong Spring Real Estate Market. Properties must be under contract by April 30th and meet a June 30th closing deadline. Now is the time for buyers to look for homes and for sellers to put their homes on the market. After April 30th - there may be fewer buyers motivated to purchase. In addition, economists are predicting a slight increase in mortgage rates for the second half of 2010. Those two conditions may exclude some buyers from the market as it will, at a minimum, reduce their buying power.


The expansion of the tax credit to existing homeowners is an opportunity that many should take advantage of. If you have owned your primary residence for 5 consecutive years of the last 8 years - and you purchase a new primary residence by April 30th (with a closing date on or before June 30th) - you may qualify for up to a $6500 credit on your 2009 or 2010 tax return; individuals with incomes as high as $145,000 or couples with income as high as $245,000 may qualify.


Whether downsizing, purchasing a larger home, or a new home in a different location - don't miss out! For those existing homeowners considering selling their home this spring, while the average price of homes sold has declined slightly in the past two years, if you've owned your home since at least 2003 - you may realize an increase in value because of early, substantial appreciation.


Understanding the market and choosing a Real Estate Company and Agent with proven results in a difficult market is crucial. Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman Realty worked with more sellers and buyers in 2009 than any other real estate office in Chittenden County and the entire state of Vermont. If you have any questions about this data or the tax credits - or would like to talk about your specific neighborhood - please don't hesitate to contact me.


Vermont Public Radio recently interviewed Leslee MacKenzie, President/ Owner of Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman Realty, regarding the state of the Vermont real estate market. To listen to that interview visit: www.HickokandBoardman.com.

Friday, January 29, 2010

A FREE Home Buying Seminar

Find out everything you need to know before buying a home — from loan pre-approval to closing.
*PLUS get information about the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit — up to $8000 in your pocket!
Wednesday, February 3, 6-8 p.m.
ECHO Lake Aquarium & Science Center
5:30 Check-in, light dinner provided
RSVP required
special guests include:
Andrew D. Mikell, Esq., State Manager, Vermont Attorneys Title Corporation
Chris Von Trapp, Realtor, Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman
Kelly Deforge, Loan Officer, Universal Mortgage

To RSVP click here

Thursday, January 28, 2010

A Great Deal in Real Estate is Now Better

The federal income tax credit for homebuyers has been extended and expanded to now include homeowners who wish to "move on" after 5 years of living in their current property, as well as first-time homebuyers.

  • First-time homebuyers, or those who have not owned in the last three years, can receive up to an $8,000 tax credit
  • Homeowners who have lived in a current home consecutively for 5 of the past 8 years can receive up to a $6,500 tax credit
  • There may be no future extensions, so all qualified homebuyers are urged to act and have a written, binding contract by April 30, 2010 (close by June 30, 2010)
  • Income limits are now $125,000 for singles, $225,000 for married couples with a $20,000 phase-out of the credit for both.

According to The National Association of Realtors News Release, dated 11/5/09, an estimated $22 billion has already been added to the general economy resulting from the bill and approximately 2 million people will utilize the tax credit in 2009.

The following chart provides more information:

Feature

For First-Time Homebuyers

For Current Qualifying Homeowners

Amount of Credit

$8,000 ($4,000) married filing separate)

$6,500 ($3,250 married filing separate)

Eligibility

May not have had an interest in a principal residence for 3 years prior to purchase

Must have used the home sold or being sold as a principal residence consecutively for 5 of the previous 8 years

Termination of Credit

Purchases after April 30, 2010

Purchases after April 30, 2010

Binding Contract Rule

So long as a written binding contract to purchase is in effect on April 30, 2010 the purchaser will have until June 30, 2010 to close

So long as a written binding contract to purchase is in effect on April 30, 2010 the purchaser will have until June 30, 2010 to close

Income Limits

$125,000 - Single

$225,000 - Married

Additional $20,000 Phase Out

$125,000 - Single

$225,000 - Married

Additional $20,000 Phase Out

Limitation on Cost of Home Purchased

$800,000

$800,000

Purchase Made by a Dependent

Ineligible

Ineligible

Additional Requirements

Purchaser must attach documentation of purchase to tax return

Purchaser must attach documentation of purchase to tax return




Courtsey of Coldwell Banker.com